Those living along the East Coast have very unwelcome news when it comes to the 2014 hurricane season: forecasts call for it to be a strong one.
What that will mean for residents along the Jersey Shore is unclear, and forecast models are not necessarily one hundred percent accurate, but the service that made the predictions, Global Weather Oscillations Inc. (GWO), has had an excellent record five years running.
Those who live on the coast who have had NJ house raising services lift their home may be less worried than the average resident, but for others the numbers may be troubling.
The average Atlantic hurricane seasons sees 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes form on average.
Following major storms in 2011 (Hurricane Irene) and 2012 (Hurricane Sandy), Global Weather Oscillations predicted a milder than usual 2013 – the only service to do so – and they were correct. Numbers were down for the 2013 hurricane season.
The forecast for 2014, however, is the opposite. The service is predicting 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes, a fairly good jump above average numbers.
One might expect that Hurricane Sandy was a sign of worse weather to come, which made 2013’s lower numbers a surprise, but according to GWO, “The wind shear coupled with sand blowing off Africa and over the eastern Atlantic, stifled developing tropical systems similar to an El Nino, and was one of the key reasons for the 2013 being the third weakest hurricane season since 1956 and least active hurricane season since 2009.”
Those considering house raising New Jersey should take note of the predictions, as GWO has proven to have highly accurate forecasts. For example, the hybrid “superstorm” Sandy was predicted three years in advance. According to David Dilley, founder of Global Weather Oscillations, “There are no random hurricanes, everything occurs in cycles.”
Dilley is a former NOAA meteorologist.
House lifting NJ companies have been working overtime since Hurricane Sandy trying to get coastal homes and those in flood prone areas set up to a higher elevation. Projects such as this are proving popular because they better protect people from the substantial damage many faced during Sandy, as well as because it helps keeps rising flood insurance rates down. The higher above elevations suggested by FEMA you are, the better rates you can secure for your flood insurance.
Until all homes are better prepared to ride out flooding from major storms, the predictions of organizations like Global Weather Oscillations will prove to be an invaluable tool for those who want to plan ahead for the things Mother Nature will throw at them. It’s impossible to predict the weather with absolute certainty, and there are always margins of error when making such predictions – anyone who pays attention to the weather man knows this – but good scientific models can at least offer a broad view of how strong or weak weather patterns will be.